Slavia Mozyr 2-3 BATE Borisov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.46
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.84
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+5.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.9pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slavia Mozyr EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY BATE Borisov EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +6%
1.21/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.13
-2% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slavia Mozyr
1W-1D-4L
AWAY BATE Borisov
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.05.2024 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 1-0 HT 1-0 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
21.10.2023 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 0-2 HT 0-0 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
24.05.2023 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 1-1 HT 1-0 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
07.08.2022 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 4-0 HT 2-0 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
20.03.2022 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 0-3 HT 0-1 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
16.10.2021 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 3-1 HT 0-0 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slavia Mozyr
2-3
AWAY BATE Borisov
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Slavia Mozyr vs BATE Borisov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BATE Borisov squeezed past Slavia Mozyr 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; BATE Borisov found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Slavia Mozyr had 52% of the ball to BATE Borisov's 48%, shots finished 18-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, BATE Borisov led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Slavia Mozyr and 2.00 for BATE Borisov.

What was the final score of Slavia Mozyr vs BATE Borisov?

Slavia Mozyr 2-3 BATE Borisov in the Belarus - Premier League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slavia Mozyr vs BATE Borisov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slavia Mozyr win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Slavia Mozyr 37%, draw 29%, BATE Borisov 34%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Slavia Mozyr) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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