Aarhus Fremad 4-0 Skive IK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.48
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.42
6+ Goals
9%
12.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.48 — our 29% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-8.8pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.7pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+7.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.8pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aarhus Fremad EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Skive IK EU Bookmakers 26%
-9% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +11%
1.87/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.50
+1% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
267 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aarhus Fremad
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Skive IK
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
28.03.2024 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 0-1 HT 0-1 Skive IK Skive IK DAN2
18.08.2023 Skive IK Skive IK 1-2 HT 0-1 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
24.03.2023 Skive IK Skive IK 1-3 HT 0-1 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
01.10.2022 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 2-2 HT 2-0 Skive IK Skive IK DAN2
15.10.2021 Skive IK Skive IK 2-1 HT 0-1 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
28.08.2021 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 1-1 HT 1-1 Skive IK Skive IK DAN2
POST-MATCH Aarhus Fremad vs Skive IK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aarhus Fremad ran out comfortable winners over Skive IK 4-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aarhus Fremad as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Aarhus Fremad and 1.33 for Skive IK.

What was the final score of Aarhus Fremad vs Skive IK?

Aarhus Fremad 4-0 Skive IK in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aarhus Fremad vs Skive IK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aarhus Fremad win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Aarhus Fremad 45%, draw 25%, Skive IK 30%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aarhus Fremad), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aarhus Fremad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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