Akademisk BK 1-3 Middelfart — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.82
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.21
6+ Goals
12%
11.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
30%
-2.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.0pp
47%
Away Win
45%
+1.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.7pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Akademisk BK EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Middelfart EU Bookmakers 49%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.34/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.27
+1% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
384 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Akademisk BK
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Middelfart
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.06.2024 Middelfart Middelfart 0-1 HT 0-0 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
03.05.2024 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 1-1 HT 1-0 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
06.04.2024 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 1-3 HT 0-3 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
23.09.2023 Middelfart Middelfart 1-0 HT 1-0 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
17.10.2021 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 2-2 HT 1-1 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
21.08.2021 Middelfart Middelfart 1-1 HT 1-0 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Akademisk BK
1-3
AWAY Middelfart
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Akademisk BK vs Middelfart
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Middelfart saw off Akademisk BK 3-1 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Middelfart as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Akademisk BK had 33% of the ball to Middelfart's 67%, shots finished 8-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Middelfart led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Akademisk BK and 1.33 for Middelfart.

What was the final score of Akademisk BK vs Middelfart?

Akademisk BK 1-3 Middelfart in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Akademisk BK vs Middelfart?

Before kick-off our model rated an Middelfart win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Akademisk BK 27%, draw 26%, Middelfart 47%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Middelfart), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Middelfart) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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