Middelfart 0-1 Akademisk BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 15 Jun 2024

📅15/06/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
4.42
2-3 Goals
42%
1.89
4-5 Goals
23%
2.93
6+ Goals
9%
8.66
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.42 — our 26% vs market 17.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
56%
-13.4pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.9pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+9.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.7pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Middelfart EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Akademisk BK EU Bookmakers 24%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.05/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.13
+7% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +48%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Middelfart
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Akademisk BK
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.05.2024 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 1-1 HT 1-0 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
06.04.2024 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 1-3 HT 0-3 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
23.09.2023 Middelfart Middelfart 1-0 HT 1-0 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
17.10.2021 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 2-2 HT 1-1 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
21.08.2021 Middelfart Middelfart 1-1 HT 1-0 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
03.11.2019 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 2-3 HT 1-3 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
POST-MATCH Middelfart vs Akademisk BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Akademisk BK edged past Middelfart 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Middelfart at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Middelfart had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Middelfart and 1.17 for Akademisk BK.

What was the final score of Middelfart vs Akademisk BK?

Middelfart 0-1 Akademisk BK in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Middelfart vs Akademisk BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Middelfart win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Middelfart 43%, draw 27%, Akademisk BK 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Middelfart) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Middelfart) ✓ Under 2.5
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