Skive IK 1-2 Thisted — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 15 Jun 2024

Skive IK
1-2 HT 0-0
Thisted
📅15/06/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Denmark - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Skive IK vs Thisted Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.02
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.1
6+ Goals
10%
10.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.02 — our 26% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.5pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.9pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.1pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Skive IK v Thisted — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Skive IK EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Thisted EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +24%
1.47/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.29
-1% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +6%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.3

Skive IK vs Thisted Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Skive IK
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Thisted
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.04.2024 Thisted Thisted 1-0 HT 1-0 Skive IK Skive IK DAN2
03.11.2023 Skive IK Skive IK 2-0 HT 0-0 Thisted Thisted DAN2
08.09.2023 Thisted Thisted 0-0 HT 0-0 Skive IK Skive IK DAN2
05.09.2023 Skive IK Skive IK 1-3 HT 0-2 Thisted Thisted DAK
10.04.2023 Thisted Thisted 0-0 HT 0-0 Skive IK Skive IK DAN2
20.08.2022 Skive IK Skive IK 1-2 HT 1-1 Thisted Thisted DAN2

Skive IK 1-2 Thisted — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Skive IK
1-2
AWAY Thisted
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Skive IK vs Thisted
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thisted edged past Skive IK 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Skive IK at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Skive IK had 59% of the ball to Thisted's 41%, shots finished 10-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Thisted led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Skive IK and 1.00 for Thisted.

What was the final score of Skive IK vs Thisted?

Skive IK 1-2 Thisted in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Skive IK vs Thisted?

Before kick-off our model rated a Skive IK win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Skive IK 44%, draw 27%, Thisted 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Skive IK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Skive IK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DAN2 More Denmark - 2nd Division
15 Jun 2024
15:00 Aarhus Fremad vs Roskilde Analysis →
15:00 Hellerup IK vs Fremad Amager Analysis →
15:00 Brabrand vs FA 2000 Analysis →
15:00 Esbjerg vs Nykobing Analysis →
15:00 Middelfart vs Akademisk BK Analysis →