Aarhus Fremad 1-2 Roskilde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 15 Jun 2024

📅15/06/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.6
2-3 Goals
36%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.87
6+ Goals
11%
8.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+3.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.7pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aarhus Fremad EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Roskilde EU Bookmakers 37%
-10% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +12%
1.80/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.20
+23% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aarhus Fremad
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Roskilde
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2024 Roskilde Roskilde 6-2 HT 3-1 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
01.04.2024 Roskilde Roskilde 0-1 HT 0-1 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
12.08.2023 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 3-1 HT 1-0 Roskilde Roskilde DAN2
10.04.2023 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 1-1 HT 0-1 Roskilde Roskilde DAN2
03.09.2022 Roskilde Roskilde 4-6 HT 2-3 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aarhus Fremad
1-2
AWAY Roskilde
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aarhus Fremad vs Roskilde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roskilde edged past Aarhus Fremad 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Roskilde found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Aarhus Fremad had 57% of the ball to Roskilde's 43%, shots finished 14-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Aarhus Fremad had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for Aarhus Fremad and 2.40 for Roskilde.

What was the final score of Aarhus Fremad vs Roskilde?

Aarhus Fremad 1-2 Roskilde in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aarhus Fremad vs Roskilde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aarhus Fremad win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Aarhus Fremad 39%, draw 25%, Roskilde 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aarhus Fremad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aarhus Fremad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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