KuPS Ak. 2-3 PKKU — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen Championship, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
35%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
3.68
Over 2.5
66%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.28
No
37%
3.34
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
9.69
2-3 Goals
27%
2.51
4-5 Goals
38%
2.33
6+ Goals
16%
3.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+3.2pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.5pp
35%
Away Win
43%
-7.8pp
34%
Under 2.5
24%
+10.0pp
66%
Over 2.5
76%
-10.0pp
63%
BTTS Yes
74%
-10.7pp
37%
BTTS No
26%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KuPS Ak. EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY PKKU EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
288 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 455 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KuPS Ak.
2W-0D-2L
AWAY PKKU
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
20.07.2024 KuPS Ak. KuPS Ak. 1-2 HT 0-0 PKKU PKKU FİN3
12.05.2024 PKKU PKKU 1-2 HT 1-2 KuPS Ak. KuPS Ak. FİN3
30.07.2022 KuPS Ak. KuPS Ak. 4-0 HT 2-0 PKKU PKKU FİNKAK
14.05.2022 PKKU PKKU 2-0 HT 1-0 KuPS Ak. KuPS Ak. FİNKAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KuPS Ak.
2-3
AWAY PKKU
48% Ball Possession 52%
5 Total Shots 29
2 Shots on Target 14
5 Corners 7
POST-MATCH KuPS Ak. vs PKKU
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PKKU squeezed past KuPS Ak. 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day PKKU made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

On the day, KuPS Ak. had 48% of the ball to PKKU's 52%, shots finished 5-29.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for KuPS Ak. and 1.25 for PKKU.

What was the final score of KuPS Ak. vs PKKU?

KuPS Ak. 2-3 PKKU in the Finland - Ykkönen Championship on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KuPS Ak. vs PKKU?

Before kick-off our model rated a KuPS Ak. win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split KuPS Ak. 39%, draw 26%, PKKU 35%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KuPS Ak.) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KuPS Ak.) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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