Vaajakoski 2-2 EPS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen Championship, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.46
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
51%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
3.68
Over 2.5
58%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.32
No
36%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
9.39
2-3 Goals
37%
2.48
4-5 Goals
33%
2.33
6+ Goals
10%
3.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
23%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
26%
-2.4pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.1pp
51%
Away Win
53%
-2.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
24%
+18.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
76%
-18.1pp
64%
BTTS Yes
72%
-7.6pp
36%
BTTS No
28%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vaajakoski EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY EPS EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
390 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vaajakoski
0W-0D-2L
AWAY EPS
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
65% Ball Possession 35%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
03.08.2024 EPS EPS 5-1 HT 2-0 Vaajakoski Vaajakoski FİN3
22.05.2024 Vaajakoski Vaajakoski 0-1 HT 0-1 EPS EPS FİN2
POST-MATCH Vaajakoski vs EPS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vaajakoski and EPS shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was EPS at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, EPS led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Vaajakoski and 3.00 for EPS.

What was the final score of Vaajakoski vs EPS?

Vaajakoski 2-2 EPS in the Finland - Ykkönen Championship on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vaajakoski vs EPS?

Before kick-off our model rated an EPS win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Vaajakoski 23%, draw 26%, EPS 51%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (EPS) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (EPS) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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