AFC Amsterdamsche 2-0 Jong Sparta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
38%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.43
Over 2.5
56%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
53%
-13.4pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.5pp
38%
Away Win
24%
+13.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.4pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Amsterdamsche EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Jong Sparta EU Bookmakers 28%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.05/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.70
+9% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Amsterdamsche
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Jong Sparta
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
13.04.2024 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche 3-1 HT 0-0 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta HOLTW
11.11.2023 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta 0-0 HT 0-0 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Amsterdamsche
2-0
AWAY Jong Sparta
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AFC Amsterdamsche vs Jong Sparta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Amsterdamsche saw off Jong Sparta 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 22% / 38%) promised a tight game; AFC Amsterdamsche found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AFC Amsterdamsche had 52% of the ball to Jong Sparta's 48%, shots finished 16-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, AFC Amsterdamsche had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for AFC Amsterdamsche and 0.50 for Jong Sparta.

What was the final score of AFC Amsterdamsche vs Jong Sparta?

AFC Amsterdamsche 2-0 Jong Sparta in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Amsterdamsche vs Jong Sparta?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Amsterdamsche win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split AFC Amsterdamsche 40%, draw 22%, Jong Sparta 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Amsterdamsche) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Amsterdamsche) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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