Excelsior Maassluis 1-1 Noordwijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.8
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+6.0pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.8pp
40%
Away Win
44%
-3.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.5pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excelsior Maassluis EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Noordwijk EU Bookmakers 48%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -60% / -60%
1.03/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-18% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
278 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Excelsior Maassluis
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Noordwijk
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.02.2024 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis 1-0 HT 1-0 Noordwijk Noordwijk HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior Maassluis
1-1
AWAY Noordwijk
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Excelsior Maassluis vs Noordwijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Excelsior Maassluis and Noordwijk shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (38% / 21% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Excelsior Maassluis had 42% of the ball to Noordwijk's 58%, shots finished 6-11.

What was the final score of Excelsior Maassluis vs Noordwijk?

Excelsior Maassluis 1-1 Noordwijk in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excelsior Maassluis vs Noordwijk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Noordwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Excelsior Maassluis 38%, draw 21%, Noordwijk 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Noordwijk), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Noordwijk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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