Genesis PN 2-1 CD Victoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
34%
3.18
Away
27%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
1.64
Over
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
38%
2-3
36%
4-5
20%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.9pp
34%
Draw
28%
+5.9pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-3.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.5pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genesis PN EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 34%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.33/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.43
-5% / +135% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
276 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genesis PN
1W-4D-0L
AWAY CD Victoria
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
04.08.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 2-2 HT 0-2 Genesis PN Genesis PN HON
14.03.2024 Genesis PN Genesis PN 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
28.01.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 1-1 HT 0-0 Genesis PN Genesis PN HON
12.11.2023 CD Victoria CD Victoria 2-2 HT 2-2 Genesis PN Genesis PN HON
18.09.2023 Genesis PN Genesis PN 3-1 HT 2-1 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
POST-MATCH Genesis PN vs CD Victoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genesis PN squeezed past CD Victoria 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 34% / 27%) promised a tight game; Genesis PN found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Genesis PN had the better of it with 1 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Genesis PN and 1.20 for CD Victoria.

What was the final score of Genesis PN vs CD Victoria?

Genesis PN 2-1 CD Victoria in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genesis PN vs CD Victoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Genesis PN win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Genesis PN 39%, draw 34%, CD Victoria 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Genesis PN) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Genesis PN) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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