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Cerezo Osaka (K) vs Tokyo Verdy B. (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cerezo Osaka (K) v Tokyo Verdy B. (K) — Team-Based Signals
Cerezo Osaka (K) vs Tokyo Verdy B. (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
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Tokyo Verdy B. (K) ran out comfortable winners over Cerezo Osaka (K) 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Tokyo Verdy B. (K) as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cerezo Osaka (K) and 1.00 for Tokyo Verdy B. (K).
What was the final score of Cerezo Osaka (K) vs Tokyo Verdy B. (K)?
Cerezo Osaka (K) 1-4 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cerezo Osaka (K) vs Tokyo Verdy B. (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Tokyo Verdy B. (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Cerezo Osaka (K) 15%, draw 20%, Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 65%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tokyo Verdy B. (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.