Umm Salal vs Al Gharafa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Umm Salal v Al Gharafa — Team-Based Signals
Umm Salal vs Al Gharafa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Al Gharafa
KAT
1-2
HT 0-1
Al Gharafa
KAT
2-2
HT 1-1
Umm Salal
KAT
3-1
HT 1-1
Al Gharafa
KAT
Umm Salal 5-0 Al Gharafa — Actual Match Statistics
Umm Salal ran out comfortable winners over Al Gharafa 5-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Umm Salal as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Umm Salal had 37% of the ball to Al Gharafa's 63%, shots finished 16-11.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Gharafa led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Umm Salal and 2.00 for Al Gharafa.
What was the final score of Umm Salal vs Al Gharafa?
Umm Salal 5-0 Al Gharafa in the Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Umm Salal vs Al Gharafa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Umm Salal win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Umm Salal 46%, draw 26%, Al Gharafa 29%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Umm Salal), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.