Mazatlan vs Queretaro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mazatlan v Queretaro — Team-Based Signals
Mazatlan vs Queretaro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 0-0
Queretaro
MEK
1-1
HT 1-0
Mazatlan
MEK
1-1
HT 0-0
Queretaro
MEK
2-0
HT 0-0
Mazatlan
MEK
2-1
HT 0-1
Queretaro
MEK
Mazatlan 2-2 Queretaro — Actual Match Statistics
Mazatlan and Queretaro shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Mazatlan at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Mazatlan had 45% of the ball to Queretaro's 55%, shots finished 13-21, expected goals 1.43 to 2.06.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mazatlan had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Mazatlan and 0.83 for Queretaro.
What was the final score of Mazatlan vs Queretaro?
Mazatlan 2-2 Queretaro in the Mexico - Primera on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mazatlan vs Queretaro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mazatlan win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Mazatlan 52%, draw 25%, Queretaro 23%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.