Queretaro 0-2 Mazatlan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒04:06 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.1
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.07
6+ Goals
10%
9.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.5pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queretaro EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Mazatlan EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -21%
1.24/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.53
-13% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -25%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
297 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 80%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
20.4 Crosses 16.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queretaro
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Mazatlan
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.15 xG 0.99
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
248 Passes 358
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 Mazatlan Mazatlan 3-0 HT 0-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
20.02.2023 Queretaro Queretaro 1-1 HT 1-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
17.08.2022 Mazatlan Mazatlan 1-1 HT 0-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
20.02.2022 Queretaro Queretaro 2-0 HT 0-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
23.10.2021 Mazatlan Mazatlan 2-1 HT 0-1 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
27.02.2021 Mazatlan Mazatlan 3-0 HT 2-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Queretaro
0-2
AWAY Mazatlan
0.60 xG 1.93
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 23
0 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 2
279 Passes 524
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
13 Box Touches 37
21 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Queretaro vs Mazatlan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mazatlan beat Queretaro 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Queretaro at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Queretaro had 38% of the ball to Mazatlan's 62%, shots finished 8-23, expected goals 0.60 to 1.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mazatlan led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Queretaro and 1.67 for Mazatlan.

What was the final score of Queretaro vs Mazatlan?

Queretaro 0-2 Mazatlan in the Mexico - Primera on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queretaro vs Mazatlan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Queretaro win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Queretaro 45%, draw 26%, Mazatlan 29%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Queretaro) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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