Sogndal 0-1 Aalesund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.67
2-3 Goals
36%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.29
6+ Goals
13%
11.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-1.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.5pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sogndal EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Aalesund EU Bookmakers 45%
-11% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +18%
1.36/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/1.04
-10% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +44%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
255 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sogndal
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Aalesund
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.05.2024 Aalesund Aalesund 0-2 HT 0-2 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
23.02.2024 Sogndal Sogndal 2-3 Aalesund Aalesund HAZ
17.10.2021 Aalesund Aalesund 3-0 HT 2-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
18.06.2021 Sogndal Sogndal 2-0 HT 1-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOR1
17.08.2019 Sogndal Sogndal 2-3 HT 1-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOR1
04.05.2019 Aalesund Aalesund 3-1 HT 0-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
POST-MATCH Sogndal vs Aalesund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aalesund nicked a narrow win over Sogndal 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 24% / 40% — and on the day Aalesund made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aalesund led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sogndal and 2.00 for Aalesund.

What was the final score of Sogndal vs Aalesund?

Sogndal 0-1 Aalesund in the Norway - 1st Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sogndal vs Aalesund?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aalesund win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sogndal 37%, draw 24%, Aalesund 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aalesund) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aalesund) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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5 Oct 2024
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