05/10/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
1-3
Forde vs Bjarg Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
No
39%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Away Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
18%
23%
Draw
20%
55%
Away Win
62%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Forde v Bjarg — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Forde
EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY
Bjarg
EU Bookmakers 66%
+60% /
+60%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+1% /
+1%
3.00/2.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.23/1.38
+90%
/
+12%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-9%
/
+8%
45%
Ball Possession
55%
11
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
6
4
Corners
5
261 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
401 · 82%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
2.6
POST-MATCH
Forde vs Bjarg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Bjarg squeezed past Forde 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Bjarg as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Forde vs Bjarg?
Forde 1-2 Bjarg in the Norway - 3rd Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Forde vs Bjarg?
Before kick-off our model rated an Bjarg win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Forde 22%, draw 23%, Bjarg 55%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bjarg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Bjarg)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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NOR4
More Norway - 3rd Division
5 Oct 2024