Os Turn Fotball 1-3 Froya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.28
Draw
15%
5.71
Away
27%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
5%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
74%
-16.0pp
15%
Draw
15%
+0.7pp
27%
Away Win
11%
+15.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.2pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Os Turn Fotball EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Froya EU Bookmakers 14%
-7% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
2.92/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/3.38
-7% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
409 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Os Turn Fotball
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Froya
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
21.06.2024 Froya Froya 0-3 HT 0-0 Os Turn Fotball Os Turn Fotball NOR4
23.10.2022 Froya Froya 4-2 HT 3-0 Os Turn Fotball Os Turn Fotball NOR4
POST-MATCH Os Turn Fotball vs Froya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Froya beat Os Turn Fotball 3-1 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Os Turn Fotball at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Os Turn Fotball and 2.00 for Froya.

What was the final score of Os Turn Fotball vs Froya?

Os Turn Fotball 1-3 Froya in the Norway - 3rd Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Os Turn Fotball vs Froya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Os Turn Fotball win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Os Turn Fotball 58%, draw 15%, Froya 27%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Os Turn Fotball) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Os Turn Fotball) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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