Mosjöen 3-3 Melhus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-4 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
7.95
Draw
21%
7.13
Away
60%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.43
No
50%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
43%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
10%
+9.4pp
21%
Draw
11%
+10.2pp
60%
Away Win
79%
-19.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
66%
-15.7pp
50%
BTTS No
34%
+15.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mosjöen EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Melhus EU Bookmakers 84%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-27% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
251 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 525 · 88%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mosjöen
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Melhus
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
21.06.2024 Melhus Melhus 3-0 HT 1-0 Mosjöen Mosjöen NOR4
POST-MATCH Mosjöen vs Melhus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mosjöen and Melhus shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 3-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Melhus at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%) came in.

What was the final score of Mosjöen vs Melhus?

Mosjöen 3-3 Melhus in the Norway - 3rd Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mosjöen vs Melhus?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melhus win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Mosjöen 19%, draw 21%, Melhus 60%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Melhus) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Melhus) ✓ Over 2.5
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