Mura 0-1 Domzale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2024

Mura
0-1 HT 0-0
Domzale
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Slovenia - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Mura vs Domzale Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.86
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.74
Over 2.5
53%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.88
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
4.05
6+ Goals
8%
18.95
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.05 — our 27% vs market 19.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
5%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
50%
-12.3pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.0pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
54%
-6.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
46%
+6.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.6pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mura v Domzale — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mura EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Domzale EU Bookmakers 27%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +21%
1.93/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.51
+35% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9

Mura vs Domzale Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mura
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Domzale
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
27.07.2024 Domzale Domzale 1-2 HT 0-1 Mura Mura SLVN
29.03.2024 Domzale Domzale 3-5 HT 0-2 Mura Mura SLVN
10.12.2023 Mura Mura 1-0 HT 1-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
27.09.2023 Domzale Domzale 0-2 HT 0-1 Mura Mura SLVN
22.07.2023 Mura Mura 2-3 HT 2-1 Domzale Domzale SLVN
02.04.2023 Domzale Domzale 0-0 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVN

Mura 0-1 Domzale — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mura
0-1
AWAY Domzale
50% Ball Possession 50%
4 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mura vs Domzale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Domzale nicked a narrow win over Mura 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 32% / 30%) promised a tight game; Domzale found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Mura had 50% of the ball to Domzale's 50%, shots finished 4-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mura had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Mura and 1.17 for Domzale.

What was the final score of Mura vs Domzale?

Mura 0-1 Domzale in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mura vs Domzale?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mura win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Mura 37%, draw 32%, Domzale 30%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mura) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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