Prachuap 2-2 BG Pathum United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
35%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+1.3pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.3pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-4.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.0pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Prachuap EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY BG Pathum United EU Bookmakers 43%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.42/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.09
+20% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -38%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
19.7 Crosses 20.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Prachuap
0W-2D-2L
AWAY BG Pathum United
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
0.82 xG 1.34
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
260 Passes 360
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.02.2023 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United 2-1 HT 1-1 Prachuap Prachuap TAY
18.09.2022 Prachuap Prachuap 2-2 HT 2-2 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United TAY
06.04.2022 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United 7-2 HT 5-1 Prachuap Prachuap TAY
28.11.2021 Prachuap Prachuap 0-0 HT 0-0 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Prachuap
2-2
AWAY BG Pathum United
1.69 xG 0.74
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
320 Passes 277
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Prachuap vs BG Pathum United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Prachuap and BG Pathum United shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Prachuap had 51% of the ball to BG Pathum United's 49%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.69 to 0.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, BG Pathum United led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Prachuap and 2.75 for BG Pathum United.

What was the final score of Prachuap vs BG Pathum United?

Prachuap 2-2 BG Pathum United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Prachuap vs BG Pathum United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Prachuap win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Prachuap 36%, draw 29%, BG Pathum United 35%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Prachuap), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Prachuap) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TAY More Thailand - 1st Division
5 Oct 2024
14:00 Sukhothai vs Nakhon Ratchasima Analysis →
15:00 Khonkaen Utd vs Uthai Thani Analysis →
16:00 Ratchaburi vs Rayong FC Analysis →