Ratchaburi 2-0 Rayong FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.45
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.97
Over 2.5
57%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
64%
-6.3pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.2pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+5.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
47%
-3.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
53%
+3.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.5pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ratchaburi EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayong FC EU Bookmakers 18%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.29/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.35
-24% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -43%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
307 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 73%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.7
21.0 Crosses 8.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ratchaburi
2-0
AWAY Rayong FC
1.58 xG 0.78
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
390 Passes 299
88% Pass Accuracy 85%
36 Box Touches 9
24 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ratchaburi vs Rayong FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ratchaburi got the better of Rayong FC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ratchaburi as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ratchaburi had 56% of the ball to Rayong FC's 44%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 1.58 to 0.78.

What was the final score of Ratchaburi vs Rayong FC?

Ratchaburi 2-0 Rayong FC in the Thailand - 1st Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ratchaburi vs Rayong FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ratchaburi win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Ratchaburi 58%, draw 22%, Rayong FC 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ratchaburi) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ratchaburi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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