Falkirk 1-1 Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 5 Oct 2025

Falkirk
1-1 HT 0-1
Rangers
📅05/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-3 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2025/2026

Falkirk vs Rangers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
4.13
Draw
19%
3.94
Away
64%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.39
2-3 Goals
41%
1.92
4-5 Goals
23%
3.01
6+ Goals
11%
8.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
7.67
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
20.5
1/X
5%
16.25
X/1
6%
10.15
X/2
18%
4.25
X/X
9%
6.1
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
38%
2.05
2/X
4%
14.7
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.5 — our 8% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
21%
-3.6pp
19%
Draw
22%
-2.9pp
64%
Away Win
57%
+6.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.7pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Falkirk v Rangers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Falkirk EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Rangers EU Bookmakers 62%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
0.65/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.14/1.06
-39% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -11%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
192 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.3
– Crosses 21.7
– Yellow Cards 1.9

Falkirk vs Rangers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Falkirk
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Rangers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 10
The Meetings
29.11.2020 Falkirk Falkirk 0-4 HT 0-3 Rangers Rangers İKLK
04.03.2018 Rangers Rangers 4-1 HT 3-1 Falkirk Falkirk İKK
18.03.2016 Falkirk Falkirk 3-2 HT 0-2 Rangers Rangers İKCL
30.01.2016 Rangers Rangers 1-0 HT 0-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
19.12.2015 Falkirk Falkirk 2-1 HT 1-1 Rangers Rangers İKCL
03.10.2015 Rangers Rangers 3-1 HT 1-1 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL

Falkirk 1-1 Rangers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Falkirk
1-1
AWAY Rangers
1.32 xG 1.09
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 6
224 Passes 350
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 26
27 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Falkirk vs Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Falkirk and Rangers couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Rangers at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Falkirk had 43% of the ball to Rangers's 57%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.32 to 1.09.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rangers led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Falkirk and 2.50 for Rangers.

What was the final score of Falkirk vs Rangers?

Falkirk 1-1 Rangers in the Scotland - Premiership on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Falkirk vs Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Falkirk 17%, draw 19%, Rangers 64%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rangers), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rangers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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