Aberdeen 4-0 Dundee FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.45
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
3.54
6+ Goals
10%
13.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.45 — our 30% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.99
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
10%
15.8
X/1
15%
3.98
X/2
6%
10.95
X/X
8%
5.45
2/1
10%
23.1
2/2
10%
9.2
2/X
5%
17.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
60%
-3.6pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.1pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.6pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +8%
1.55/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.58
-11% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +0%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
373 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 71%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
25.2 Crosses 15.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aberdeen
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Dundee FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.20 xG 1.46
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
274 Passes 253
72% Pass Accuracy 71%
24 Box Touches 30
17 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.02.2025 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
09.11.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 4-1 HT 0-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
28.09.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-2 HT 1-2 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
13.04.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 0-0 HT 0-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
13.03.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
30.01.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-1 HT 1-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aberdeen
4-0
AWAY Dundee FC
2.80 xG 0.31
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 2
505 Passes 268
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
33 Box Touches 8
20 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Aberdeen vs Dundee FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aberdeen ran out comfortable winners over Dundee FC 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aberdeen as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Aberdeen had 63% of the ball to Dundee FC's 37%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 2.80 to 0.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aberdeen had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Aberdeen and 0.83 for Dundee FC.

What was the final score of Aberdeen vs Dundee FC?

Aberdeen 4-0 Dundee FC in the Scotland - Premiership on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aberdeen vs Dundee FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aberdeen win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Aberdeen 56%, draw 23%, Dundee FC 21%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aberdeen) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aberdeen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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