Dundee FC 1-2 Aberdeen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.56
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.43
6+ Goals
10%
12.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.43 — our 26% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.81
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X
6%
12.65
X/1
10%
5.86
X/2
12%
5.7
X/X
11%
4.74
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
28.0
2/2
17%
3.64
2/X
6%
12.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.0 — our 11% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+4.7pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.4pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.1pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -9%
1.38/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.53
+30% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
259 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 74%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
20.3 Crosses 19.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundee FC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Aberdeen
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.30 xG 1.18
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
254 Passes 297
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
27 Box Touches 25
23 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 4-1 HT 0-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
28.09.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-2 HT 1-2 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
13.04.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 0-0 HT 0-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
13.03.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
30.01.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-1 HT 1-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
30.04.2022 Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-0 HT 0-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundee FC
1-2
AWAY Aberdeen
1.81 xG 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
21 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 7
251 Passes 231
71% Pass Accuracy 68%
41 Box Touches 22
29 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dundee FC vs Aberdeen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aberdeen edged past Dundee FC 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Dundee FC at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Dundee FC had 51% of the ball to Aberdeen's 49%, shots finished 21-13, expected goals 1.81 to 1.67.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aberdeen led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Dundee FC and 1.33 for Aberdeen.

What was the final score of Dundee FC vs Aberdeen?

Dundee FC 1-2 Aberdeen in the Scotland - Premiership on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundee FC vs Aberdeen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundee FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Dundee FC 42%, draw 24%, Aberdeen 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dundee FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dundee FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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