Kilmarnock vs St. Johnstone Prediction — Model Probabilities
Kilmarnock v St. Johnstone — Team-Based Signals
Kilmarnock vs St. Johnstone Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Kilmarnock 3-1 St. Johnstone — Actual Match Statistics
Kilmarnock saw off St. Johnstone 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Kilmarnock as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
Under the surface, St. Johnstone saw more of the ball, 60% to 40%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.40 to 0.67.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Johnstone led the recent series with 4 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Kilmarnock against 1.33 for St. Johnstone.
Kilmarnock vs St. Johnstone Result & Final Score
Kilmarnock 3 - 1 St. Johnstone in the Scotland - Premiership on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Kilmarnock vs St. Johnstone Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Kilmarnock win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Kilmarnock 52%, draw 29%, St. Johnstone 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kilmarnock) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.