Kilmarnock vs St. Johnstone Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kilmarnock v St. Johnstone — Team-Based Signals
Kilmarnock vs St. Johnstone Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
St. Johnstone
İKP
2-1
HT 2-0
Kilmarnock
İKP
0-1
HT 0-1
St. Johnstone
İKP
Kilmarnock 3-1 St. Johnstone — Actual Match Statistics
Kilmarnock saw off St. Johnstone 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kilmarnock as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Kilmarnock had 40% of the ball to St. Johnstone's 60%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.40 to 0.67.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Johnstone led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kilmarnock and 1.33 for St. Johnstone.
What was the final score of Kilmarnock vs St. Johnstone?
Kilmarnock 3-1 St. Johnstone in the Scotland - Premiership on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kilmarnock vs St. Johnstone?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kilmarnock win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Kilmarnock 49%, draw 27%, St. Johnstone 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kilmarnock) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.