Celtic vs Motherwell Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Celtic v Motherwell — Team-Based Signals
Celtic vs Motherwell Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Motherwell
İKP
1-2
HT 0-0
Celtic
İKP
Celtic 3-2 Motherwell — Actual Match Statistics
Celtic edged past Motherwell 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Celtic as the likeliest winner at 79%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.
On the day, Celtic had 62% of the ball to Motherwell's 38%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 2.62 to 1.39 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Celtic's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Celtic and 0.67 for Motherwell.
What was the final score of Celtic vs Motherwell?
Celtic 3-2 Motherwell in the Scotland - Premiership on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Celtic vs Motherwell?
Before kick-off our model rated a Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split Celtic 79%, draw 14%, Motherwell 6%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celtic), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.