Celtic vs Motherwell Prediction — Model Probabilities
Celtic v Motherwell — Team-Based Signals
Celtic vs Motherwell Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Celtic 3-2 Motherwell — Actual Match Statistics
Celtic edged past Motherwell 3-2. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Celtic as the likeliest winner at 83%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (71%) came in.
The match data tells the story: Celtic had 62% of the ball to Motherwell's 38%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 2.62 to 1.39 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Celtic's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Celtic and 0.67 for Motherwell.
Celtic vs Motherwell Result & Final Score
Celtic 3 - 2 Motherwell in the Scotland - Premiership on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Celtic vs Motherwell Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 83%, with the full match-result split Celtic 83%, draw 11%, Motherwell 6%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celtic), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.