IFK Kumla 3-2 Grebbestads IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.47
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.18
Over 2.5
61%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.53
No
39%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+4.7pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.2pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
42%
-2.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
58%
+2.8pp
61%
BTTS Yes
61%
+0.3pp
39%
BTTS No
39%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Kumla EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Grebbestads IF EU Bookmakers 42%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.54/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/2.07
-11% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Kumla
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Grebbestads IF
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
10.05.2025 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF 0-2 HT 0-0 IFK Kumla İSÇ4
14.09.2024 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF 5-0 HT 0-0 IFK Kumla İSÇ4
18.05.2024 IFK Kumla 0-2 HT 0-1 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF İSÇ4
11.09.2022 IFK Kumla 1-2 HT 1-0 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF İSÇ4
20.11.2021 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF 2-2 HT 2-1 IFK Kumla İSÇ4
11.09.2021 IFK Kumla 3-3 HT 1-0 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH IFK Kumla vs Grebbestads IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Kumla squeezed past Grebbestads IF 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 42% / 22% / 37% — and on the day IFK Kumla made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Grebbestads IF led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for IFK Kumla and 2.33 for Grebbestads IF.

What was the final score of IFK Kumla vs Grebbestads IF?

IFK Kumla 3-2 Grebbestads IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Kumla vs Grebbestads IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a IFK Kumla win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split IFK Kumla 42%, draw 22%, Grebbestads IF 37%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IFK Kumla), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (IFK Kumla) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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