Grebbestads IF 5-0 IFK Kumla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.74
Over 2.5
52%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.38
No
49%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.4pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
33%
+15.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
67%
-15.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
68%
-17.9pp
50%
BTTS No
32%
+17.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grebbestads IF EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Kumla EU Bookmakers 43%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.76/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.86/1.57
+4% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +72% / +1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
324 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grebbestads IF
2W-2D-0L
AWAY IFK Kumla
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
18.05.2024 IFK Kumla 0-2 HT 0-1 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF İSÇ4
11.09.2022 IFK Kumla 1-2 HT 1-0 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF İSÇ4
20.11.2021 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF 2-2 HT 2-1 IFK Kumla İSÇ4
11.09.2021 IFK Kumla 3-3 HT 1-0 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Grebbestads IF vs IFK Kumla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grebbestads IF cruised past IFK Kumla 5-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Grebbestads IF found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Grebbestads IF had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Grebbestads IF and 1.50 for IFK Kumla.

What was the final score of Grebbestads IF vs IFK Kumla?

Grebbestads IF 5-0 IFK Kumla in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grebbestads IF vs IFK Kumla?

Before kick-off our model rated an IFK Kumla win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Grebbestads IF 37%, draw 25%, IFK Kumla 38%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (IFK Kumla) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IFK Kumla) ✓ Over 2.5
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