Atletic Lleida 1-1 Girona II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.5pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletic Lleida EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Girona II EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+64% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
301 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletic Lleida
1-1
AWAY Girona II
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletic Lleida vs Girona II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletic Lleida and Girona II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Atletic Lleida had 53% of the ball to Girona II's 47%, shots finished 11-6.

What was the final score of Atletic Lleida vs Girona II?

Atletic Lleida 1-1 Girona II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletic Lleida vs Girona II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletic Lleida win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Atletic Lleida 40%, draw 28%, Girona II 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atletic Lleida) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletic Lleida) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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