Atletico Baleares 1-0 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.13
No
51%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-4.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
43%
+6.3pp
51%
BTTS No
57%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Baleares EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Ibiza Islas Pitiusas EU Bookmakers 21%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +15%
1.84/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.18
+19% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +24%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
318 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Baleares
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
22.12.2024 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Baleares Atletico Baleares İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Baleares
1-0
AWAY Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico Baleares vs Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Baleares edged past Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atletico Baleares as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Atletico Baleares had 59% of the ball to Ibiza Islas Pitiusas's 41%, shots finished 10-7.

What was the final score of Atletico Baleares vs Ibiza Islas Pitiusas?

Atletico Baleares 1-0 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Baleares vs Ibiza Islas Pitiusas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Baleares win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Atletico Baleares 53%, draw 26%, Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Baleares), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Baleares) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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