Gimnasia Mendoza 1-0 Defensores De Belgrano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
Over 2.5
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.67
No
57%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-4.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
33%
+9.8pp
57%
BTTS No
67%
-9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia Mendoza EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensores De Belgrano EU Bookmakers 19%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.20/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.95
-11% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +32%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
444 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia Mendoza
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Defensores De Belgrano
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
01.06.2025 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 0-2 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
22.06.2024 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 0-1 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
05.02.2024 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 0-1 HT 0-1 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
16.08.2023 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 1-0 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
05.04.2023 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 1-0 HT 0-0 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
20.08.2022 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 0-1 HT 0-0 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Gimnasia Mendoza vs Defensores De Belgrano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia Mendoza nicked a narrow win over Defensores De Belgrano 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gimnasia Mendoza as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gimnasia Mendoza and 0.50 for Defensores De Belgrano.

What was the final score of Gimnasia Mendoza vs Defensores De Belgrano?

Gimnasia Mendoza 1-0 Defensores De Belgrano in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia Mendoza vs Defensores De Belgrano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia Mendoza win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia Mendoza 53%, draw 26%, Defensores De Belgrano 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnasia Mendoza), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gimnasia Mendoza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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