Defensores De Belgrano 0-1 Gimnasia Mendoza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 22 Jun 2024

📅22/06/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.44
Over 2.5
33%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-4.8pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.5pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.4pp
67%
Under 2.5
66%
+1.1pp
33%
Over 2.5
34%
-1.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.2pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensores De Belgrano EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnasia Mendoza EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -7%
0.99/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.93
-22% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
401 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 201 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensores De Belgrano
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Gimnasia Mendoza
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.20
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
05.02.2024 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 0-1 HT 0-1 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
16.08.2023 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 1-0 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
05.04.2023 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 1-0 HT 0-0 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
20.08.2022 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 0-1 HT 0-0 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
09.02.2020 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 1-0 HT 1-0 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Defensores De Belgrano vs Gimnasia Mendoza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia Mendoza edged past Defensores De Belgrano 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 31%) promised a tight game; Gimnasia Mendoza found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Defensores De Belgrano had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Defensores De Belgrano and 0.20 for Gimnasia Mendoza.

What was the final score of Defensores De Belgrano vs Gimnasia Mendoza?

Defensores De Belgrano 0-1 Gimnasia Mendoza in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensores De Belgrano vs Gimnasia Mendoza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Defensores De Belgrano win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Defensores De Belgrano 38%, draw 31%, Gimnasia Mendoza 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Defensores De Belgrano) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Defensores De Belgrano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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