Deportivo Madryn 1-0 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 22 Jun 2024

📅22/06/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.02
Draw
45%
2.7
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
77%
1.26
Over 2.5
23%
3.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.75
No
61%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
25%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
46%
-16.3pp
45%
Draw
34%
+11.5pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.8pp
77%
Under 2.5
76%
+0.7pp
23%
Over 2.5
24%
-0.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
32%
+7.0pp
61%
BTTS No
68%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Madryn EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes Rio Cuarto EU Bookmakers 24%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +15%
0.89/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/0.89
-31% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +40%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
373 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Madryn
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
05.02.2024 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn ARJPBN
02.08.2022 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Deportivo Madryn vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Madryn nicked a narrow win over Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was the draw at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (77%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Estudiantes Rio Cuarto led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Deportivo Madryn and 1.00 for Estudiantes Rio Cuarto.

What was the final score of Deportivo Madryn vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto?

Deportivo Madryn 1-0 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Madryn vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Madryn 29%, draw 45%, Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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