Almagro 1-2 Nueva Chicago — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 22 Jun 2024

📅22/06/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
32%
2.77
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
74%
1.36
Over 2.5
26%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.33
No
68%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
47%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
10%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.1pp
32%
Draw
33%
-1.0pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-2.0pp
74%
Under 2.5
70%
+3.6pp
26%
Over 2.5
30%
-3.6pp
32%
BTTS Yes
39%
-7.0pp
68%
BTTS No
61%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almagro EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Nueva Chicago EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.87/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.32/0.49
-21% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / +96%
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
323 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almagro
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Nueva Chicago
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
04.02.2024 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 1-0 HT 0-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
14.07.2023 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 2-0 HT 1-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
13.03.2023 Almagro Almagro 0-0 HT 0-0 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
13.09.2022 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 2-3 HT 2-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Almagro vs Nueva Chicago
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nueva Chicago squeezed past Almagro 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 32% / 31% — and on the day Nueva Chicago made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (74%), no to both teams scoring (68%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Nueva Chicago led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Almagro and 1.25 for Nueva Chicago.

What was the final score of Almagro vs Nueva Chicago?

Almagro 1-2 Nueva Chicago in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almagro vs Nueva Chicago?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almagro win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Almagro 37%, draw 32%, Nueva Chicago 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Almagro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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