Nueva Chicago vs Almagro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nueva Chicago v Almagro — Team-Based Signals
Nueva Chicago vs Almagro Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Almagro
ARJPBN
0-0
HT 0-0
Nueva Chicago
ARJPBN
2-3
HT 2-0
Almagro
ARJPBN
Nueva Chicago 1-0 Almagro — Actual Match Statistics
Nueva Chicago squeezed past Almagro 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Nueva Chicago as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Nueva Chicago had 55% of the ball to Almagro's 45%, shots finished 13-8.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Nueva Chicago and 1.00 for Almagro.
What was the final score of Nueva Chicago vs Almagro?
Nueva Chicago 1-0 Almagro in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nueva Chicago vs Almagro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nueva Chicago win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Nueva Chicago 41%, draw 32%, Almagro 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nueva Chicago), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.