Almirante Brown 0-1 Atletico Atlanta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.36
Over 2.5
31%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.4
No
65%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-2.4pp
33%
Draw
32%
+0.9pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.5pp
69%
Under 2.5
70%
-1.0pp
31%
Over 2.5
30%
+1.0pp
35%
BTTS Yes
38%
-2.8pp
65%
BTTS No
62%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almirante Brown EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Atlanta EU Bookmakers 30%
+7% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.12/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.16
-8% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almirante Brown
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Atletico Atlanta
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.03.2022 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta 1-1 HT 0-1 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBN
09.08.2021 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta 0-1 HT 0-1 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBN
28.03.2021 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta ARJPBN
05.04.2015 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta 5-1 HT 3-1 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almirante Brown
0-1
AWAY Atletico Atlanta
58% Ball Possession 42%
6 Total Shots 6
4 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Almirante Brown vs Atletico Atlanta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Atlanta edged past Almirante Brown 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 33% / 28%) promised a tight game; Atletico Atlanta found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (65%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Almirante Brown had 58% of the ball to Atletico Atlanta's 42%, shots finished 6-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Atletico Atlanta led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Almirante Brown and 1.75 for Atletico Atlanta.

What was the final score of Almirante Brown vs Atletico Atlanta?

Almirante Brown 0-1 Atletico Atlanta in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almirante Brown vs Atletico Atlanta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almirante Brown win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Almirante Brown 39%, draw 33%, Atletico Atlanta 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Almirante Brown) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Almirante Brown) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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