Atletico Aldosivi 0-1 Atletico Rafaela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.84
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
32%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.48
Over 2.5
43%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+7.5pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.9pp
32%
Away Win
37%
-4.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
64%
-7.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
36%
+7.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.4pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Aldosivi EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Rafaela EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +15%
0.79/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/0.32
-24% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
266 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Aldosivi
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Atletico Rafaela
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
199 Passes 187
62% Pass Accuracy 63%
9 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
26.08.2023 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela ARJPBN
14.04.2023 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela 2-2 HT 1-0 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi ARJPBN
14.03.2017 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela ARJ
15.05.2016 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi 2-1 HT 2-0 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela ARJ
01.08.2015 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela 2-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi ARJ
POST-MATCH Atletico Aldosivi vs Atletico Rafaela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Rafaela squeezed past Atletico Aldosivi 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Atletico Rafaela found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Atletico Aldosivi and 1.20 for Atletico Rafaela.

What was the final score of Atletico Aldosivi vs Atletico Rafaela?

Atletico Aldosivi 0-1 Atletico Rafaela in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Aldosivi vs Atletico Rafaela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Aldosivi win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Atletico Aldosivi 39%, draw 28%, Atletico Rafaela 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Aldosivi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Aldosivi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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