San Martin Tucuman 1-0 Gimnasia Jujuy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
40%
2.94
Away
20%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
74%
1.44
Over 2.5
26%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.33
No
61%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
14%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.9pp
40%
Draw
30%
+9.8pp
20%
Away Win
24%
-3.9pp
74%
Under 2.5
66%
+7.8pp
26%
Over 2.5
34%
-7.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
39%
+0.3pp
61%
BTTS No
61%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Martin Tucuman EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnasia Jujuy EU Bookmakers 28%
+4% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -16%
1.45/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.43
+11% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
287 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Martin Tucuman
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Gimnasia Jujuy
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
01.10.2022 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 1-1 HT 0-1 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
11.11.2019 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 2-0 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy ARJPBN
10.12.2017 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 0-0 HT 0-0 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
14.06.2009 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 0-1 HT 0-1 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy ARJ
30.11.2008 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 1-0 HT 0-0 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Martin Tucuman
1-0
AWAY Gimnasia Jujuy
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 1
4 Corners 2
POST-MATCH San Martin Tucuman vs Gimnasia Jujuy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Martin Tucuman squeezed past Gimnasia Jujuy 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 40% / 20%) promised a tight game; San Martin Tucuman found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (74%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, San Martin Tucuman had 47% of the ball to Gimnasia Jujuy's 53%, shots finished 5-1.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Gimnasia Jujuy led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for San Martin Tucuman and 0.60 for Gimnasia Jujuy.

What was the final score of San Martin Tucuman vs Gimnasia Jujuy?

San Martin Tucuman 1-0 Gimnasia Jujuy in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Martin Tucuman vs Gimnasia Jujuy?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Martin Tucuman win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split San Martin Tucuman 40%, draw 40%, Gimnasia Jujuy 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (40/40/20) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJPBN More Argentina - National Primera Liga
4 Feb 2024
01:05 Quilmes vs Temperley Analysis →
01:10 Nueva Chicago vs Almagro Analysis →
02:00 Atletico Aldosivi vs Atletico Rafaela Analysis →
03:10 Colon vs Defensores Unidos Analysis →
23:00 Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Chaco For Ever Analysis →
23:00 Almirante Brown vs Atletico Atlanta Analysis →