Colon 2-1 Defensores Unidos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒03:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
25%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.54
Over 2.5
49%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.44
No
52%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
61%
-13.2pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.9pp
25%
Away Win
15%
+10.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
61%
-10.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
39%
+10.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
37%
+10.9pp
52%
BTTS No
63%
-10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colon EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensores Unidos EU Bookmakers 18%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -18%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.46
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
268 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colon
2-1
AWAY Defensores Unidos
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 7
8 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Colon vs Defensores Unidos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colon squeezed past Defensores Unidos 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Colon as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Colon had 51% of the ball to Defensores Unidos's 49%, shots finished 9-7.

What was the final score of Colon vs Defensores Unidos?

Colon 2-1 Defensores Unidos in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colon vs Defensores Unidos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colon win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Colon 48%, draw 27%, Defensores Unidos 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colon) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Colon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJPBN More Argentina - National Primera Liga
4 Feb 2024
01:05 Quilmes vs Temperley Analysis →
01:10 Nueva Chicago vs Almagro Analysis →
02:00 San Martin Tucuman vs Gimnasia Jujuy Analysis →
02:00 Atletico Aldosivi vs Atletico Rafaela Analysis →
23:00 Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Chaco For Ever Analysis →
23:00 Almirante Brown vs Atletico Atlanta Analysis →