Lanus 2-1 San Lorenzo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒03:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
30%
2.66
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.25
Over 2.5
32%
3.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.75
No
62%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
1.61
2-3 Goals
40%
1.98
4-5 Goals
14%
9.55
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.6
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
7%
17.1
X/1
17%
4.47
X/2
12%
6.48
X/X
15%
2.84
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
12%
6.22
2/X
8%
17.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.8pp
30%
Draw
34%
-4.4pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.2pp
68%
Under 2.5
76%
-8.8pp
32%
Over 2.5
24%
+8.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
32%
+6.1pp
62%
BTTS No
68%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lanus EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY San Lorenzo EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +19%
1.31/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/0.91
-2% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +42%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
270 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 73%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
20.0 Crosses 15.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lanus
3W-2D-1L
AWAY San Lorenzo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.17 xG 1.03
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
286 Passes 312
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2025 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 1-1 HT 0-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ
21.05.2024 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 1-1 HT 0-1 Lanus Lanus ARJ
27.01.2024 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 0-2 HT 0-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ
21.08.2023 Lanus Lanus 0-1 HT 0-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
05.02.2023 Lanus Lanus 2-1 HT 2-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
24.09.2022 Lanus Lanus 2-0 HT 1-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lanus
2-1
AWAY San Lorenzo
1.11 xG 1.56
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
272 Passes 290
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
10 Box Touches 31
10 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lanus vs San Lorenzo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lanus squeezed past San Lorenzo 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Lanus made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lanus had 48% of the ball to San Lorenzo's 52%, shots finished 8-22, expected goals 1.11 to 1.56 — the balance of chances actually favoured San Lorenzo.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lanus had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lanus and 0.67 for San Lorenzo.

What was the final score of Lanus vs San Lorenzo?

Lanus 2-1 San Lorenzo in the Argentina - Premier League on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lanus vs San Lorenzo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lanus win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lanus 40%, draw 30%, San Lorenzo 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lanus) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lanus) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJ More Argentina - Premier League
5 Oct 2025
01:00 Atletico Tucuman vs Platense Analysis →
01:00 Huracan vs Banfield Analysis →
20:30 Godoy Cruz vs Independiente Analysis →
22:30 Estudiantes vs Barracas Central Analysis →
22:45 Talleres Cordoba vs Belgrano Cordoba Analysis →