San Lorenzo 1-1 Lanus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 21 May 2024

📅21/05/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.25
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
36%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.02
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
17%
6.47
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.52
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.1
X/1
12%
4.54
X/2
11%
6.0
X/X
15%
3.35
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
18%
5.19
2/X
8%
15.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
40%
-6.0pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.8pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+6.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.0pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Lorenzo EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Lanus EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
1.22/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.17
-9% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
21.2 Crosses 17.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Lorenzo
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Lanus
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.11 xG 1.51
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
323 Passes 332
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.01.2024 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 0-2 HT 0-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ
21.08.2023 Lanus Lanus 0-1 HT 0-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
05.02.2023 Lanus Lanus 2-1 HT 2-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
24.09.2022 Lanus Lanus 2-0 HT 1-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
20.10.2021 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 1-3 HT 1-1 Lanus Lanus ARJ
08.03.2020 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 4-3 HT 1-1 Lanus Lanus ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Lorenzo
1-1
AWAY Lanus
0.95 xG 1.09
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
297 Passes 158
80% Pass Accuracy 68%
27 Box Touches 17
32 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH San Lorenzo vs Lanus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Lorenzo and Lanus couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, San Lorenzo had 63% of the ball to Lanus's 37%, shots finished 20-13, expected goals 0.95 to 1.09.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lanus led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for San Lorenzo and 2.00 for Lanus.

What was the final score of San Lorenzo vs Lanus?

San Lorenzo 1-1 Lanus in the Argentina - Premier League on 21/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Lorenzo vs Lanus?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lanus win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split San Lorenzo 34%, draw 30%, Lanus 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lanus), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lanus) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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