Estudiantes 2-0 Deportivo Riestra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 21 May 2024

📅21/05/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.43
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
18%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.67
Over 2.5
52%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.44
No
58%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.67
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
23%
4.4
6+ Goals
10%
22.7
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.4 — our 23% vs market 17.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.78
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
4%
20.45
X/1
25%
3.31
X/2
6%
15.35
X/X
11%
4.84
2/1
9%
30.0
2/2
7%
14.5
2/X
6%
22.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
66%
-5.4pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.1pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+6.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
56%
-8.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
44%
+8.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
37%
+5.5pp
58%
BTTS No
63%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Riestra EU Bookmakers 14%
-5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.74/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/1.47
+21% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -1%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 70%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.5
24.5 Crosses 11.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes
2-0
AWAY Deportivo Riestra
1.76 xG 0.48
75% Ball Possession 25%
22 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
559 Passes 110
86% Pass Accuracy 54%
22 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Estudiantes vs Deportivo Riestra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes got the better of Deportivo Riestra 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Estudiantes as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Estudiantes had 75% of the ball to Deportivo Riestra's 25%, shots finished 22-6, expected goals 1.76 to 0.48.

What was the final score of Estudiantes vs Deportivo Riestra?

Estudiantes 2-0 Deportivo Riestra in the Argentina - Premier League on 21/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes vs Deportivo Riestra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes 61%, draw 21%, Deportivo Riestra 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estudiantes), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Estudiantes) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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