Rosario Central 1-1 Atletico Tigre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 21 May 2024

📅21/05/2024 · 🕒03:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.66
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.5
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.75
6+ Goals
10%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.2
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
16.4
X/1
20%
3.66
X/2
7%
10.1
X/X
12%
4.21
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
12%
9.0
2/X
8%
17.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
56%
-9.4pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.2pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.6pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rosario Central EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Tigre EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -4%
1.46/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.25
+0% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -16%
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
366 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 70%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
27.3 Crosses 14.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rosario Central
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Atletico Tigre
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.71 xG 1.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
304 Passes 252
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.02.2023 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 2-2 HT 1-1 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
09.08.2022 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 3-1 HT 2-1 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
04.04.2022 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 2-0 HT 0-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
17.02.2019 Rosario Central Rosario Central 0-2 HT 0-2 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
31.10.2017 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 1-1 HT 1-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
25.03.2017 Rosario Central Rosario Central 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rosario Central
1-1
AWAY Atletico Tigre
0.89 xG 0.42
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
331 Passes 366
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 8
29 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rosario Central vs Atletico Tigre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosario Central and Atletico Tigre shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Rosario Central at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Rosario Central had 50% of the ball to Atletico Tigre's 50%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.89 to 0.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Tigre led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Rosario Central and 1.67 for Atletico Tigre.

What was the final score of Rosario Central vs Atletico Tigre?

Rosario Central 1-1 Atletico Tigre in the Argentina - Premier League on 21/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rosario Central vs Atletico Tigre?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rosario Central win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Rosario Central 47%, draw 29%, Atletico Tigre 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rosario Central), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rosario Central) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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