San Lorenzo 1-1 Lanus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒01:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
32%
2.77
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.38
Over 2.5
32%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.29
No
61%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
1.88
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
14%
6.59
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.44
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
9%
14.95
X/1
11%
5.5
X/2
18%
5.49
X/X
17%
3.2
2/1
9%
35.0
2/2
8%
4.43
2/X
6%
14.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+1.9pp
32%
Draw
33%
-0.9pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.0pp
68%
Under 2.5
69%
-0.8pp
32%
Over 2.5
31%
+0.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.0pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Lorenzo EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Lanus EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.16/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.14
-7% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -3%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
222 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 78%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
21.8 Crosses 17.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Lorenzo
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Lanus
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.98 xG 1.21
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
328 Passes 290
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.05.2024 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 1-1 HT 0-1 Lanus Lanus ARJ
27.01.2024 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 0-2 HT 0-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ
21.08.2023 Lanus Lanus 0-1 HT 0-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
05.02.2023 Lanus Lanus 2-1 HT 2-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
24.09.2022 Lanus Lanus 2-0 HT 1-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
20.10.2021 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 1-3 HT 1-1 Lanus Lanus ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Lorenzo
1-1
AWAY Lanus
1.02 xG 1.74
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
252 Passes 333
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 30
21 Crosses 15
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH San Lorenzo vs Lanus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Lorenzo and Lanus couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 32% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (68%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, San Lorenzo had 46% of the ball to Lanus's 54%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 1.02 to 1.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lanus led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for San Lorenzo and 1.67 for Lanus.

What was the final score of San Lorenzo vs Lanus?

San Lorenzo 1-1 Lanus in the Argentina - Premier League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Lorenzo vs Lanus?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Lorenzo win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split San Lorenzo 36%, draw 32%, Lanus 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (San Lorenzo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Lorenzo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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