Instituto Cordoba 1-0 San Martin San Juan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.41
Over 2.5
31%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.51
No
64%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
1.9
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
14%
6.48
6+ Goals
6%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.69
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
16.65
X/1
18%
4.02
X/2
8%
8.4
X/X
12%
3.48
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
9%
8.08
2/X
6%
18.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
49%
+2.6pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.3pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+0.6pp
69%
Under 2.5
67%
+1.3pp
31%
Over 2.5
33%
-1.3pp
36%
BTTS Yes
36%
+0.2pp
64%
BTTS No
64%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Instituto Cordoba EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY San Martin San Juan EU Bookmakers 24%
-4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -7%
1.50/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.31
-1% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
268 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 74%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
26.3 Crosses 18.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Instituto Cordoba
3W-1D-1L
AWAY San Martin San Juan
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
10.07.2022 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 2-1 HT 1-1 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJPBN
30.10.2021 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 1-0 HT 0-0 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJPBN
04.07.2021 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 1-1 HT 0-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJPBN
19.10.2014 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 2-0 HT 1-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJPBN
20.05.2014 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 3-0 HT 0-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Instituto Cordoba
1-0
AWAY San Martin San Juan
1.29 xG 0.22
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 1
177 Passes 88
66% Pass Accuracy 46%
18 Box Touches 9
26 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Instituto Cordoba vs San Martin San Juan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Instituto Cordoba squeezed past San Martin San Juan 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Instituto Cordoba as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

On the day, Instituto Cordoba had 59% of the ball to San Martin San Juan's 41%, shots finished 16-4, expected goals 1.29 to 0.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Instituto Cordoba had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Instituto Cordoba and 0.60 for San Martin San Juan.

What was the final score of Instituto Cordoba vs San Martin San Juan?

Instituto Cordoba 1-0 San Martin San Juan in the Argentina - Premier League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Instituto Cordoba vs San Martin San Juan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Instituto Cordoba win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Instituto Cordoba 52%, draw 26%, San Martin San Juan 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Instituto Cordoba), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Instituto Cordoba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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