Botev Vratsa 1-2 Botev Plovdiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
22%
3.04
Away
42%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.56
Over 2.5
47%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.0pp
21%
Draw
29%
-8.0pp
42%
Away Win
32%
+10.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
60%
-7.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
40%
+7.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.9pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botev Vratsa EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 36%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.27/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/1.04
+18% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / +3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botev Vratsa
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.11.2024 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 3-1 HT 2-0 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
21.07.2024 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 1-3 HT 0-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
10.02.2018 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-3 HT 0-2 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botev Vratsa
1-2
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Botev Vratsa vs Botev Plovdiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botev Plovdiv squeezed past Botev Vratsa 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Botev Plovdiv as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Botev Vratsa had 54% of the ball to Botev Plovdiv's 46%, shots finished 6-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Botev Plovdiv led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Botev Vratsa and 2.00 for Botev Plovdiv.

What was the final score of Botev Vratsa vs Botev Plovdiv?

Botev Vratsa 1-2 Botev Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botev Vratsa vs Botev Plovdiv?

Before kick-off our model rated an Botev Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Botev Vratsa 36%, draw 21%, Botev Plovdiv 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botev Plovdiv) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Botev Plovdiv) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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