Jeonnam Dragons 4-1 Cheonan City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.86
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.9
Over 2.5
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.19
2-3 Goals
36%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
27%
3.36
6+ Goals
10%
12.85
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.36 — our 27% vs market 23.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
50%
+0.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.2pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+2.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-3.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+3.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jeonnam Dragons EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Cheonan City EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
1.83/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.47
+25% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
353 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses 17.1
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jeonnam Dragons
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Cheonan City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
402 Passes 302
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
10.08.2025 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 3-4 HT 0-0 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
22.02.2025 Cheonan City Cheonan City 0-2 HT 0-2 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
26.10.2024 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 0-2 HT 0-0 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
11.08.2024 Cheonan City Cheonan City 1-0 HT 0-0 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
31.03.2024 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 1-0 HT 0-0 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
23.09.2023 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 1-3 HT 1-2 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jeonnam Dragons
4-1
AWAY Cheonan City
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
397 Passes 279
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jeonnam Dragons vs Cheonan City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jeonnam Dragons ran out comfortable winners over Cheonan City 4-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Jeonnam Dragons as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Jeonnam Dragons had 58% of the ball to Cheonan City's 42%, shots finished 19-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cheonan City led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Jeonnam Dragons and 1.67 for Cheonan City.

What was the final score of Jeonnam Dragons vs Cheonan City?

Jeonnam Dragons 4-1 Cheonan City in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jeonnam Dragons vs Cheonan City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jeonnam Dragons win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Jeonnam Dragons 50%, draw 23%, Cheonan City 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jeonnam Dragons), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jeonnam Dragons) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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