Busan I Park 1-1 Gyeongnam FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.64
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.86
Over 2.5
57%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.88
No
44%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.1
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
26%
3.44
6+ Goals
10%
13.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
56%
-2.3pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.5pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
50%
-7.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
50%
+7.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.4pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Gyeongnam FC EU Bookmakers 23%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -12%
1.77/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.38
-18% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 75%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
18.0 Crosses 16.1
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Busan I Park
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Gyeongnam FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
365 Passes 230
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
27 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.08.2025 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
02.03.2025 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-1 HT 0-0 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
22.09.2024 Busan I Park Busan I Park 1-1 HT 1-0 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
23.07.2024 Busan I Park Busan I Park 2-1 HT 1-0 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
09.03.2024 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 1-4 HT 1-2 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
01.10.2023 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Busan I Park
1-1
AWAY Gyeongnam FC
64% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
473 Passes 244
90% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Busan I Park vs Gyeongnam FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busan I Park and Gyeongnam FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Busan I Park at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Busan I Park had 64% of the ball to Gyeongnam FC's 36%, shots finished 20-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Busan I Park had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Busan I Park and 0.83 for Gyeongnam FC.

What was the final score of Busan I Park vs Gyeongnam FC?

Busan I Park 1-1 Gyeongnam FC in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Busan I Park vs Gyeongnam FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Busan I Park win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Busan I Park 54%, draw 21%, Gyeongnam FC 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Busan I Park), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Busan I Park) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GKOR2 More South Kore - K League Challenge
5 Oct 2025
08:00 Jeonnam Dragons vs Cheonan City Analysis →