Aurora vs Municipal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aurora v Municipal — Team-Based Signals
Aurora vs Municipal Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Aurora 1-0 Municipal — Actual Match Statistics
Aurora edged past Municipal 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Municipal at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Aurora had 47% of the ball to Municipal's 53%, shots finished 10-13.
What was the final score of Aurora vs Municipal?
Aurora 1-0 Municipal in the Guatemala - National League on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aurora vs Municipal?
Before kick-off our model rated an Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Aurora 28%, draw 29%, Municipal 43%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.